Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Florida
Conference USA
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#105
Expected Predictive Rating+4.9#94
Pace66.9#206
Improvement-9.6#344

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#107
Improvement-2.4#286

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#105
Improvement-7.2#345
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2010 288   Jackson St. W 80-39 91%     1 - 0 +29.9 -5.3 -4.1
  Nov 18, 2010 112   South Florida W 65-59 64%     2 - 0 +6.2 +0.0 +0.5
  Nov 23, 2010 301   @ Stetson W 85-58 82%     3 - 0 +21.1 -2.5 -2.2
  Nov 27, 2010 303   Alabama St. W 84-48 92%     4 - 0 +23.7 -5.5 -5.1
  Dec 01, 2010 18   Florida W 57-54 18%     5 - 0 +16.7 +6.4 +7.5
  Dec 04, 2010 253   SE Louisiana W 74-49 88%     6 - 0 +16.1 -4.3 -3.4
  Dec 11, 2010 293   Bethune-Cookman W 76-59 91%     7 - 0 +5.7 -5.0 -5.5
  Dec 15, 2010 232   Louisiana W 79-58 84%     8 - 0 +14.1 -3.5 -2.6
  Dec 18, 2010 59   Miami (FL) W 84-78 31%     9 - 0 +14.8 +4.4 +4.6
  Dec 22, 2010 181   @ Massachusetts W 64-59 56%     10 - 0 +7.1 +0.7 +1.6
  Dec 29, 2010 151   Furman W 71-53 71%     11 - 0 +15.9 -0.7 -0.5
  Dec 30, 2010 84   Princeton W 68-62 56%     12 - 0 +8.3 +1.2 +1.4
  Jan 05, 2011 78   Marshall W 65-58 53%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +9.9 +1.0 +2.2
  Jan 08, 2011 202   @ Houston L 71-76 62%     13 - 1 1 - 1 -4.4 +0.2 +0.1
  Jan 15, 2011 74   @ Southern Miss L 69-86 27%     13 - 2 1 - 2 -6.9 +4.7 +4.6
  Jan 19, 2011 141   East Carolina L 62-74 69%     13 - 3 1 - 3 -13.3 -1.1 -0.8
  Jan 22, 2011 153   Rice L 50-57 72%     13 - 4 1 - 4 -9.2 -1.9 -0.7
  Jan 26, 2011 92   @ Memphis L 61-77 34%     13 - 5 1 - 5 -8.1 +3.3 +4.0
  Jan 29, 2011 68   UAB L 69-74 46%     13 - 6 1 - 6 -0.3 +2.5 +2.0
  Feb 05, 2011 141   @ East Carolina L 61-68 45%     13 - 7 1 - 7 -2.0 +2.1 +2.6
  Feb 09, 2011 92   Memphis L 62-63 58%     13 - 8 1 - 8 +0.6 +0.6 +0.9
  Feb 12, 2011 87   Tulsa W 58-57 57%     14 - 8 2 - 8 +2.9 +0.6 +1.4
  Feb 16, 2011 180   @ Tulane W 65-62 56%     15 - 8 3 - 8 +5.1 +1.1 +1.2
  Feb 19, 2011 68   @ UAB L 58-63 24%     15 - 9 3 - 9 +6.0 +5.7 +5.1
  Feb 21, 2011 67   @ UTEP W 74-68 24%     16 - 9 4 - 9 +17.1 +5.7 +5.6
  Feb 26, 2011 74   Southern Miss W 65-64 50%     17 - 9 5 - 9 +4.8 +1.9 +1.9
  Mar 02, 2011 150   SMU W 51-48 71%     18 - 9 6 - 9 +1.0 -1.4 -0.4
  Mar 05, 2011 78   @ Marshall L 69-83 30%     18 - 10 6 - 10 -4.8 +4.5 +4.0
  Mar 09, 2011 141   East Carolina L 60-75 57%     18 - 11 -13.2 +0.6 +0.5
Projected Record 18.0 - 11.0 6.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 0.3% 0.3% 12.3 0.2 0.1 99.7 0.3%
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 12.3 0.2 0.1 99.7 0.3%